Hi From Pagosa Country!
It is a beautiful Sunday morning, and this is my
second attempt to put this newsletter together in the past week. I
will start off with the Real Estate news at a glance.
As you will see in the statistics to follow,
the market continues to be sluggish. Inventory is increasing, and
sales are down from last year. The only unusual number is condo
inventory, which is down 13%. This number is misleading. A condo
complex that was under construction and on the market has been
temporarily halted, and those units have been pulled out of the
inventory. I have seen sparks of business here and there. Three
weeks ago, I had four new transactions come together in one day. Two
are still in the works and look good, but the other two fell through
the cracks. Both were repo’s. One became part of a four-way
bidding war and will sell for more than full price.
Lately, it seems like most of the properties
that get sold are really good deals. In most cases, being
reasonably priced just doesn’t cut it in today’s stressed market.
My best guess is that we will see the market continue to be soft
until next spring. Hopefully, with a new president, we will gain
new optimism. Then we will see a stretch of maybe a year of flat
pricing, but there will be more sales to take away the oversupply.
Until we can balance the supply and demand, prices will decline or
stay flat.
Sellers who are priced ahead of the curve are
much more likely to get their property sold. Then they can move on
and reap the benefits of a buyer’s market on their next
transaction. Possibly, this will more than offset the loss in value
on their current property. Buyers have to recognize a great deal
when they see it, and they must be willing and able to pull the
trigger.
I recently did an informal survey of our local
merchants. The tourist industry is holding its own. Motels,
restaurants, and many merchants are seeing decent sales. Customers
are coming from closer parts of the country (due to gas prices), but
they are still coming. This is better news than I expected. On the
other side of the coin, business activity related to construction
and real estate is down.
As a Realtor, I have been feeling sorry for
myself, remembering the good ol’ days of three years ago when I made
three times as much as I am now. I wish I had stored more acorns.
Sometimes it’s a struggle to think positive, so I have been trying
to jump start my mind. I am a firm believer in the theory that you
become what you think about most. I started re-reading my favorite
book of all time, Think and Grow Rich, by Napoleon Hill. I
have several copies that I have purchased, and I especially enjoy
giving them away to teenagers. I also use them for a high school
scholarship program dealing with goal setting. If you would like a
copy, please let me know, and I will give you a free one as long as
you agree to two conditions: First, when you are done, give me a
call to let me know whether you enjoyed it. Second, pass it on. A
lot of the ideas are similar to what many of you have heard or seen
in the latest motivational phenomenon, The Secret.
On a local note, the Four Corners Folk Festival
is coming up. It is my favorite party of the year. If you haven’t
gone to this event in the past, you are really missing a great music
festival. This year it will be held August 29th – 31st.
For more information, visit www.FolkWest.com
So long for now. Think Positive and have a
great Rest of the Year!
Lee Riley
970-946-3856 (cell)
leeriley@isellpagosa.com
P.S. Remember, with my CRS referral network, I can
provide you with a top notch Realtor anywhere in the country. CRS
stands for Certified Residential Specialist, a professional
designation that only 4% of the Realtors in the country have
earned. If you or someone you know is relocating, I can refer you
to a certified CRS agent.
|
PAGOSA SPRINGS REAL ESTATE STATISTICS |
|
Jan-July of 2006, 2007, and 2008 |
|
**Note: These numbers may not be exact.** |
|
% Difference indicates change from 2007 to 2008 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Properties Sold |
Inventory Available |
|
Homes |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
% Difference |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
% Difference |
|
$0-100,000 |
20 |
9 |
8 |
-11% |
13 |
17 |
21 |
+24% |
|
$100,001 to 150,000 |
12 |
9 |
15 |
+67% |
17 |
28 |
31 |
+11% |
|
$150,001 to 200,000 |
29 |
15 |
14 |
-7% |
19 |
30 |
38 |
+27% |
|
$200,001 to 250,000 |
32 |
22 |
11 |
-50% |
35 |
46 |
65 |
+41% |
|
$250,001 to 300,000 |
27 |
16 |
19 |
+19% |
38 |
42 |
82 |
+95% |
|
$300,001 to 400,000 |
26 |
24 |
9 |
-63% |
62 |
98 |
119 |
+21% |
|
$400,001 to 500,000 |
16 |
7 |
7 |
+0% |
32 |
71 |
60 |
-15% |
|
$500,001 to 750,000 |
13 |
13 |
10 |
-23% |
65 |
73 |
75 |
+3% |
|
$750,001 to 1,000,000 |
8 |
4 |
4 |
+0% |
33 |
49 |
44 |
-10% |
|
$1,000,001 plus |
4 |
1 |
4 |
+300% |
39 |
45 |
49 |
+9% |
|
All |
187 |
120 |
101 |
-16% |
353 |
499 |
584 |
+17% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Median Sale Closed |
$252,750 |
$260,750 |
$265,000 |
+$4,250 |
►Up 1.6% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Days on Market |
153 |
191 |
208 |
+17 |
►Up 9% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Properties Sold |
Inventory Available |
|
Condos |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
% Difference |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
% Difference |
|
$0-100,000 |
8 |
3 |
4 |
+33% |
1 |
3 |
8 |
+167% |
|
$100,001-200,000 |
19 |
11 |
8 |
-27% |
24 |
35 |
49 |
+40% |
|
$200,001-300,000 |
10 |
4 |
7 |
+75% |
16 |
31 |
27 |
-13% |
|
$300,001 plus |
13 |
8 |
4 |
-50% |
51 |
68 |
35 |
-49% |
|
All |
50 |
26 |
23 |
-12% |
92 |
137 |
119 |
-13% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Median Sale Closed |
$182,250 |
$167,500
|
$162,500
|
-$5,000 |
►Down 3% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Days on Market |
158 |
212 |
275 |
+63 |
►Up 30% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Properties Sold |
Inventory Available |
|
Vacant Lots |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
% Difference |
2006 |
2007 |
| |